Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.507405 32.887964 37.635823 43.153698 49.379258 56.174669 64.142263
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.101720 27.156762 34.358766 43.505110 54.754822 68.078999 84.988765
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 16.711878 23.476819 32.137765 43.921333 59.399470 78.885495 105.097180
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.757646 19.373545 28.410233 41.460620 59.590418 83.614828 117.528175
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.050843 17.914456 27.807787 42.811389 64.621057 94.730117 138.885116
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.961129 17.111589 27.918343 45.019748 70.867712 107.819061 163.782437
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.338329 15.191950 26.056274 43.993713 72.168872 113.844643 178.966182
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.833120 13.197100 23.769867 41.961512 71.615100 116.929727 189.864725
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.450637 13.050559 24.429758 44.652425 78.579483 131.742126 219.270114
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.319234 13.324093 25.804416 48.622575 87.876659 150.738152 256.275161
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.707913 12.602244 25.340384 49.368116 91.850749 161.505778 280.939185
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.057126 11.698580 24.426831 49.195893 94.194609 169.709078 301.891486
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.316914 10.534827 22.958261 47.999774 94.898371 175.662082 320.301521
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.797704 9.759084 22.155345 47.991715 97.786748 185.639791 346.360988
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.385337 9.144781 21.589073 48.364152 101.385306 197.079962 375.661427
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.770462 7.936519 19.609405 45.666654 98.896013 197.488222 385.672273
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.566068 7.687998 19.660116 47.134935 104.576867 213.034828 423.521036
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.446482 7.633574 20.133757 49.539145 112.298304 232.826919 470.192420
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.113180 6.944808 19.048183 48.421783 112.752759 238.942964 492.017194
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.765525 6.138094 17.557454 46.208234 110.695538 240.042803 504.436965
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.726723 6.221224 18.271037 49.139020 119.807812 263.521084 560.748252
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.752202 6.504104 19.525067 53.460078 132.246512 294.292235 632.672057
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.611636 6.241956 19.328216 54.271139 137.007932 309.893101 675.777414